Track Record

Forecast accuracy,
published openly.

Most revenue-management vendors keep backtest accuracy confidential. We don't. The methodology below is fixed and disclosed — we will not retroactively tune it to make the number look better.

24
US markets calibrated
24 of 24 live in the bench
240
properties
40–800 keys, independents + franchisees
16M+
reservations
Calibrated to real US demand events
Nightly
backtest cadence
Version-controlled, regression-tracked
Honest disclosure
HotelRMS is pre-revenue and actively recruiting design-partner hotels.

The forecast accuracy numbers below are measured against a high-fidelity simulation bench, not against live customer data. This is published precisely so a prospective customer can audit our discipline before betting on the system. Once design partners sign and operate the platform for 90 days, this page will add a second column: backtest MAPE against their actual reservations.

Methodology

Fixed and disclosed. We will not retro-fit any of these to make the published number look better. When the methodology version changes, the methodology version string updates on the public API response and the change is logged here.

Error metric
Industry-standard accuracy measure, bucketed by booking lead-time.
Validation split
Held-out time-series cross-validation. The model never sees future data during training.
Bench composition
Calibrated against real US demand events across all 24 markets in coverage.
What is excluded
Live customer data (we have none yet) and events outside the calibrated fixture set.
Refresh cadence
Nightly backtest, versioned per release.
Auditability
Methodology version is exposed in the public API so published numbers are traceable.

Market calibration coverage

24 markets fully calibrated; 0 additional markets in the Q3 2026 expansion wave. Each market is seeded with the demand events most relevant to that local sub-market — not generic US averages.

MarketStateStatus
San Francisco Bay AreaCACalibrated
Los AngelesCACalibrated
Las VegasNVCalibrated
Phoenix-ScottsdaleAZCalibrated
SeattleWACalibrated
Hawaii (Oahu)HICalibrated
Dallas-Fort WorthTXCalibrated
ChicagoILCalibrated
AtlantaGACalibrated
NashvilleTNCalibrated
MiamiFLCalibrated
OrlandoFLCalibrated
New OrleansLACalibrated
Washington DCDCCalibrated
New York CityNYCalibrated
BostonMACalibrated
San DiegoCACalibrated
Salt Lake CityUTCalibrated
DenverCOCalibrated
HoustonTXCalibrated
AustinTXCalibrated
CharlotteNCCalibrated
TampaFLCalibrated
PhiladelphiaPACalibrated